This post is part of the Health Affairs Forefront short series, “Value Assessment: Where Do We Go Post-COVID?” The series explores what we have learned about value assessment and related issues during ...

We make decisions every day, many of which are so straightforward that we hardly notice we are making them. But we tend to struggle when faced with decisions that have uncertain outcomes, such as ...

Here is a four-step process to work with and through ambiguity to make careful, reasoned decisions. Editor's note: This story is available via the Harvard Business Review. It and other HBR stories are ...

Seems like everything these days is COVID-19. Recently the editor of the Journal of Business Forecasting asked me to write an article on demand planning under uncertainty.* Initially it sounded ...

Dr. Gary Klein is a cognitive psychologist and one of the world’s foremost experts on human decision making. I had the opportunity to talk with him recently about the present pandemic, and I asked him ...

Professionals don’t experience uncertainty in decision making — as an amateur, I “knew” this. Before I worked in a medical center, I thought medicine was an exact science: Doctors were trained to ...

Uncertainty seems to be everywhere right now. Uncertainty about the economy, politics, careers, weather, and wars, to name just a few. Doubt sets in anytime we face a decision with incomplete or ...

A new study reveals that people are far more emotionally affected by anticipating negative future outcomes than by imagining ...

People's perceptions and their interpretation of the world are known to often be influenced by their expectations and past ...

Humans possess a remarkable balance between stability and flexibility, enabling them to quickly establish new plans and adjust goals even in the face of sudden changes. However, "model-free ...