If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...

Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

Is a recession on the horizon? This video analyzes the yield curve and its historical accuracy in predicting economic ...

In the past three months, economists have changed their outlook for the U.S. to slower growth, higher inflation and greater risk of recession. The changed consensus in The Wall Street Journal’s ...

Most economists expect the U.S. economy to avoid a recession and grow moderately in 2026, though inflation could remain above ...

Unless the red flags signaling a recession become more pronounced, it probably won’t be clear whether the United States is in a recession until July. A recession requires at least two quarters of ...

Diccon Hyatt is an experienced financial and economics reporter. He's written hundreds of articles breaking down complex financial topics in plain language, emphasizing the impact that economic ...

President Trump's wide-ranging tariffs have sent the stock market tumbling and recession fears soaring. As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the administration's ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Leadership professor, job market journalist-analyst, business advisor. Officially, an economic downturn is not a recession until ...

Even with inflation easing, the tariff war paused and the labor force at full employment, the U.S. gross domestic product is expected to grow by only 1.6% for 2025 – more than 1 percentage point below ...