We expect the market to gyrate in the 5,000-6,000 range with a 5,500 inflection for the S&P 500 Index during the second quarter until there is greater policy clarity on tariffs. The US's enormous ...

In Virginia’s recent election, Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger won over voters who said the economy was the most critical issue by more than 20 points over Republican opponent Winsome Earle-Sears. She ...

These cases point to a general pattern. Economic pressure tends to matter in war only when it triggers one of three outcomes: the collapse of a state’s capacity to fight, the fragmentation of the ...

President Trump is laying the groundwork for replacing real economic data with his own numbers. It’s a terrible idea that will blow up in his face if he tries it — and cause the Trump presidency more ...

Hurricane season has arrived in the Caribbean, but another type of storm is brewing which threatens the region’s economic potential. To successfully navigate around this, it is incumbent on my ...

Everyone has a stake in keeping the unemployment rate low. A single percentage point increase in unemployment is tied to a jump in the poverty rate of about 0.4 to 0.7 percentage points. Higher rates ...

Here’s a shocker: Democrats and Republicans don’t see eye-to-eye on the economy. But focusing on the partisan divide obscures the bigger picture: Majorities in both parties think the economy is not ...

President Trump wants the Federal Reserve to cut short-term interest rates all the way to 1%. That’s something the Fed would typically do only in an emergency situation, such as a sudden recession or ...

Very early in the Trump administration’s rollout of immigration enforcement measures, it became clear that it was going beyond its promise to focus on criminals and national security threats. That ...

With US economic policies driving financial and economic volatility and rousing the bond vigilantes, it is an open question whether we are witnessing the fragmenting of the international order, or ...